Saturday, November 27, 2004

Stone Cold Politics
Rolling Stone Magazine has a great election review interview with some experts in the field. It repeats some things that I've been saying, which I always like to point out. They are:

They're not all fundies anymore
The Christian Right is gaining in size and strength, if you define it as the number of Christians that vote Republican, but it's not among evangelicals, or "fundies" as the Left have taken to calling them. Rolling Stone bears me out: "We also know that half of all the votes that George Bush got this year came from people who go to religious services on a weekly basis. We're not just talking about fundamentalists -- we're talking about Catholics, Jews, black Baptists, everyone."
Before the election, I said that Catholics would vote increasingly Republican, and afterwards I said they did.

Lawrence v. Texas
It all started with the Lawrence v. Texas Supreme Court decision, legalizing sodomy nationwide. The gay rights community saw and opening, and leapt into it with a little too much vigor. I predicted back then that it would come to bite them in the rear. "My impression is that the country was moving toward a much greater tolerance of gays -- and, indeed, an embrace of alternative lifestyles -- that went far beyond what we saw, say, twenty years ago. Many voters were perfectly happy in their communities with gays living next door. Had that been left undisturbed, we would have seen far more support for gay unions ten years from now. But the decisions to approve gay marriages in Massachusetts and San Francisco may have spurred voters to make a decision about the issue before they were ready."

The youth vote did turn out
What I said starting the day after the election. "One of the misperceptions about the election is that young people didn't turn out. In fact, the number of voters under the age of thirty increased substantially."

What's the plan, John?
Throughout the campaign, and especially the debates, I pointed out that Kerry had a plan, or so he told us, but I had no idea what it was. "Ruy is right. Kerry kept talking about the plan, the plan, the plan, the plan -- but the public never knew what the plan was. It would be equivalent to Martin Luther King Jr. saying, 'I have a dream,' but never spelling out the dream that he went on to describe so vividly."

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